Olbermann: Putin Must Pay A Price

In 2021, President Biden had warned Putin of ‘devastating’ fallout if activist Navalny dies in jail. https://www.cnn.com/2021/06/16/politics/alexey-navalny-biden-putin-geneva/index.html Show us you meant it, Joe.

Keith Olbermann explains how Biden should respond: Putin must pay a price for killing Alexei Navalny. “Start with the transfer of the $300 billion in Russian assets seized after the attack on Ukraine, to the Ukrainian government. We must spend Putin’s money to destroy him.”

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The GOP Plan…

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How Florida Teaches History

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Attention Supreme Court: Donald Trump Cannot Run or Serve a 2nd Term as President

By Arlen Grossman

Published in dailykos.com, Feb. 9, 2024

As we all know, the laws in this country are based on the United States Constitution. Legal experts have always talked about the intent and meaning of the words therein. They should be followed as written and intended.

It certainly seems simple enough. The 14th Amendment to the Constitution directs us not to allow certain officials to hold office in this country. It is written this way:

Section 3. No person shall be a Senator or Representative in Congress, or elector of President and Vice President, or hold any office, civil or military, under the United States, or under any State, who, having previously taken an oath, as a member of Congress, or as an officer of the United States, or as a member of any State legislature, or as an executive or judicial officer of any State, to support the Constitution of the United States, shall have engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the same, or given aid or comfort to the enemies thereof. But Congress may, by a vote of two-thirds of each House, remove such disability.

In our case under consideration, we know that Donald Trump, “as an officer of the United States,” took “an oath to support the Constitution of the United States,” engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the same, or given aid or comfort to the enemies thereof.”

It couldn’t be more clear. Donald Trump forfeited his rights to “hold any office, civil or military, under the United States.” It’s time for him to stop campaigning for president, and to move on to defending himself against the 91 felony counts he is charged with. A number of conservative legal scholars see it that way, among them the respected J. Michael Luttig, a member of the Federalist Society.

Many experts think this clause in the 14th Amendment should be “self-executing,”  meaning domestic courts can enforce them directly. There is dispute about whether this law is self-executing. So our politically oriented, conservative Supreme Court will take it up. The Court is which Merrick Garland should be a member, and not Amy Coney Barrett, were it not for Donald Trump and Mitch McConnell’s sleazy moves to slant the court in the GOP’s favor.

We can surely expect the Roberts Court to ignore the relevant words in the 14th Amendment and find a way to make sure Trump continues to run. That will make it clear that it is not the words in the Constitution that matter, but rather how the Supreme Court decides to interpret those words.

We should’t be surprised.

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Trump Ruling in Colorado Will Test Conservative Approach to Law

Two doctrines favored by the conservative supermajority — textualism and originalism — could play a crucial role in any decision by the justices on whether to keep Donald Trump on the ballot

By Charlie Savage/ New York Times/ December 21, 2023

The ruling by Colorado’s Supreme Court that former President Donald J. Trump is ineligible to be president again because he engaged in an insurrection has cast a spotlight on the basis for the decision: the Constitution’s 14th Amendment, which includes a clause disqualifying people who violated their oaths of office from holding government positions in the future.

Mr. Trump has vowed to appeal to the Supreme Court. It is dominated by a supermajority of six justices who emerged from the conservative legal movement, which values methods of interpretation known as textualism and originalism. Under those precepts, judges should interpret the Constitution based on its text and publicly understood meaning when adopted, over factors like evolving social values, political consequences or an assessment of the intended purpose of the provision.

Some of the major questions raised by the ruling — like whether it would need an act of Congress to take effect as well as the power of a state court to decide whether a federal candidate is qualified — do not turn on interpreting the clause’s text. But here is where textualism and originalism may come into play.

What is the disqualification clause?

The 14th Amendment was adopted in 1868 as part of the post-Civil War Reconstruction Era. To deal with the problem of former Confederates holding positions of government power, its third section disqualifies former government officials who have betrayed their oaths from holding office.

Specifically, the clause says that people are ineligible to hold any federal or state office they took an oath to uphold the Constitution in one of various government roles, including as an “officer of the United States,” and then engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the United States or aided its enemies. The clause also says a supermajority vote in Congress could waive such a penalty.

According to a Congressional Research Service report, a criminal conviction was not seen as necessary: federal prosecutors brought civil actions to oust officials who were former Confederates, and Congress refused to seat certain members under the clause. Congress passed amnesty laws in 1872 and 1898, lifting the penalties on former Confederates.

Is the president an ‘officer of the United States’?

Mr. Trump is unique among American presidents: He has never held any other public office and only swore an oath to the Constitution as president. That raises the question of whether the disqualification clause covers the oath he took. While as a matter of ordinary speech, a president is clearly an “officer of the United States,” there is a dispute over whether it excludes presidents as a constitutional term of art.

In 2021, two conservative legal scholars, Josh Blackman of the South Texas College of Law Houston and Seth Barrett Tillman of the National University of Ireland, Maynooth, published a law review article about the clause arguing on textualist and originalist grounds that a president does not count as an officer of the United States. Among other issues, they focused on language about “officers” in the original Constitution as ratified in 1788 — including language about oaths that can be read as distinguishing appointed executive branch officers from presidents, who are elected.

Last summer, two other conservative legal scholars — William Baude of the University of Chicago and Michael Stokes Paulsen of the University of St. Thomas — posted a law review article that invoked similar methodology but concluded that Mr. Trump is ineligible for the presidency. “Essentially all the evidence concerning the original textual meaning” of the clause pointed in that direction, the scholars argued. Among other things, they wrote that phrases like “officer of the United States” must be read “sensibly, naturally and in context, without artifice” that would render it a “‘secret code’ loaded with hidden meanings.”

In an earlier phase of the Colorado case, a lower court judge had ruled that the clause does not cover presidents and so rejected removing Mr. Trump from the ballot. In finding the opposite, the Colorado Supreme Court also cited evidence of people in the immediate post-Civil War era discussing the president as an officer of the government, while focusing on ordinary use of the term rather than treating it as a term of art.

Were the events of Jan. 6 an insurrection?

The question of whether “insurrection” aptly describes the events of Jan. 6 is another topic of debate, although it was not a major disagreement among judges in Colorado.

Some critics of Mr. Trump use that word to describe how a pro-Trump mob overran the Capitol in an attempt to block Congress from certifying President Biden’s Electoral College victory. Mr. Trump’s allies — as well as some people who are otherwise his critics — argue that “insurrection” is hyperbole.

The Constitution does not define the word. While it was written after the South’s armed rebellion against the Union, its text does not limit its scope to participation in events of a comparable scale. A federal statute allowing presidents to use troops to suppress insurrections discusses “unlawful obstructions, combinations, or assemblages, or rebellion against the authority of the United States” that “make it impracticable to enforce the laws of the United States in any state by the ordinary course of judicial proceedings.”

The Colorado Supreme Court’s four-justice majority found that the events were an insurrection, and that issue was not the basis of any of the three dissents. The lower-court judge who had rejected the lawsuit on the grounds that the president is not an “officer of the United States” had nevertheless found that the events of Jan. 6 constituted an insurrection.

Has Trump ‘engaged’ in an insurrection?

Even assuming the events of Jan. 6 were an insurrection, there remains the question of whether the actions of Mr. Trump — who did not himself storm Congress — amounted to engaging in an insurrection against the government or giving aid and comfort to its enemies.

The House committee that investigated Mr. Trump’s attempt to subvert the 2020 election concluded that the events met the standard of an insurrection, and asked the Justice Department to consider charging him under a law that makes it a crime to incite, assist, or give “aid or comfort” to an insurrection.

The panel cited his summoning of supporters to Washington on Jan. 6, the fiery speech he delivered to them as they morphed into a mob, how he refused for hours to take steps to call off the rioters despite being implored by aides to do so, and an inflammatory tweet he sent about Vice President Mike Pence during the violence.

Still, the special counsel, Jack Smith, did not include inciting an insurrection in the charges he brought against Mr. Trump, and to date Mr. Trump has not been convicted of any crime in connection with his attempts to stay in office for a second term despite losing the election. Mr. Trump has argued that all his actions were protected by the Constitution, including the First Amendment.

What else have courts said about the clause and Jan. 6?

There has never before been a presidential candidate who is accused in court of being an oath-breaking insurrectionist, so there is no Supreme Court precedent solidly on point. But other politicians have faced similar legal challenges in connection with the events of Jan. 6, 2021.

In early 2022, opponents of Representative Madison Cawthorn, a Trump-aligned Republican of North Carolina, filed a lawsuit to keep him from running for re-election based on what they described as his role in encouraging what became the Jan. 6 riot. A Federal District Court judge dismissed the case, ruling that the clause no longer had force after the 1872 amnesty law. But an appeals court overturned that ruling, holding that the amnesty law was only retrospective and the prohibition still applied in general. Mr. Cawthorn lost his primary election, so the case was rendered moot without resolving other issues.

Opponents of Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene, a Trump-aligned Republican of Georgia, similarly tried to keep her from running for re-election in 2022. A state judge rejected that challenge, finding no persuasive evidence that she “took any action — direct physical efforts, contribution of personal services or capital, issuance of directives or marching orders, transmissions of intelligence, or even statements of encouragement — in furtherance” of what turned into the Jan. 6 riot after she first took the oath on Jan. 3, 2021.

And in September 2022, a state judge in New Mexico ordered Couy Griffin, a commissioner in New Mexico’s Otero County, removed from office under the clause. Mr. Griffin had been convicted of trespassing for breaching the Capitol as part of the mob. The judge ruled that the events surrounding the Jan. 6 riot counted as an insurrection and that Mr. Griffin’s role in the matter rendered him “constitutionally disqualified from serving.”

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What’s With This Weather?

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Two Clueless Candidates

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Will Trump’s Senility Save Us?

By Arlen Grossman

(Published in Daily Kos, 1/27/2024, and OpEdNews.com, 2-1-2024)

Note: This trended well at the dailykos.com, and had 250+ comments. You can skim the comments if it interests you. https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2024/1/27/2219959/-Will-Trump-s-Senility-Save-Us#comment_87917123

Conventional wisdom has been telling us that Donald Trump has pretty much locked up the Republican nomination for president. That is understandable, because the Trump MAGA base has virtually eliminated the traditional Republican Party and replaced it with a personality cult unable to think independently, realistically or rationally. 

Republican lawmakers and potential candidates understandingly fear the power and the loyalty of Trump supporters, and feel they are trapped with no escape route, and thus have no choice but to leap on the Trump bandwagon.

But conventional wisdom is not always right and is most certainly wrong now when it comes to Trump’s likelihood of capturing the party’s nomination. He will have a tough time hanging on much longer. His unprecedented faults and vulnerabilities are showing more and more, and getting worse as time rolls on.

Two things happened this month that clearly display the ways Trump is losing his mojo. His easy victory in the Iowa caucuses proved to his supporters that he would be rolling all over his rivals in the coming primaries. Indeed, he beat Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley by about thirty points each. Nobody came close to the ex-president. 

But a closer look reveals that he barely received half of all GOP votes (51%). It was not a rout at all. Virtually half of GOP voters failed to vote for Trump, despite Iowa being considered a very favorable state for the ex-president. Could it be some of his charm is starting to fade?

Several days later, Florida Governor DeSantis dropped out, a wise decision, as he was not connecting with voters. He had started off as a reasonable alternative to Trump, someone with similar views but more like a traditional Republican and more electable. He failed to live up to those expectations.

Trump’s GOP opponents are rightfully frightened of his MAGA base. Just s before the New Hampshire primary, the Republican field had been whittled down to two: Donald Trump and Nikki Haley. Looking at the polls, and because nearly every other important Republican had endorsed him, Trump’s nomination seems inevitable. But it isn’t.

Nikki Haley in recent months has been rising in the polls (which surely played a part in DeSantis’s decision). Trump won the New Hampshire primary handily, but hardly in a rout. Haley managed to get 43% of the GOP vote. Independents, college-educated voters and Republicans unwilling to dismiss Trump’s craziness and legal peril, preferred Haley, even without a lot of enthusiasm.

After years of Trump dominating headlines, saying outrageous things, and pushing everyone’s buttons, could it be possible that GOP voters are tiring of the Donald’s headline-grabbing antics?  Trump had been gradually losing some of his magic after barely winning in 2016. Every subsequent election after that has been evidence that MAGA supporters, intensely loyal as they are, were not persuading many others to jump onto their bandwagon. Trump underperformed and failed to help the GOP in every subsequent election: 2018, 2020 and 2022.

On a daily basis, more and more of the hateful, angry, bullying parts of his disturbed personality are coming out. None of this incoherancy is new, of course, but it is getting noticeably worse.

Whether it be hateful, angry, bullying, confused, bitter or incomprehensible, Americans are seeing the disturbing signs of Trump’s legal pressures, insecurity, old age, and likely, the onset of dementia. 

We’ve all seen it get increasingly worse, as he has had trouble distinguishing between Biden and Obama, Nikki Haley and Nancy Pelosi, World War II and World War III, among others. He insists President Biden and Democrats are Marxists, Communists, and pro-terrorist. He has declared that wind turbines off the coast of the US “are causing whales to die in numbers never seen before.” He tells us that he won all 50 states in 2020, and he will punish anyone that disagrees with him, and has plans to be a dictator, whether for one day, or longer. “I’m the most successful person ever to run for the presidency, by far,” he told us delusionally. “Nobody’s ever been more successful than me. I’m the most successful person ever to run.”

As his mental decline becomes more obvious, as his legal woes accumulate (91 felony charges), as his anger and bitterness increase, Republicans might be forced to second-guess their loyalties to this disturbed ex-president and find a way to get him off the ballot. If they don’t, the Democratic Party will sail to victory in November. Few Republicans would look forward to that, and will likely seek some way to prevent it. They have to, or there will be a Democratic rout on election day, and it would be hard to find a Republican who wants that.

Sorry, conventional wisdom, you’re wrong on this one. Trump has already peaked and is slipping fast. His chances of spending another term in the White House appear more unlikely every day. Assuming the American people are paying attention to what they see and hear, Donald Trump could more likely next year to be sleeping in a cell than in the White House. 

Such an outcome would be a much-needed and timely reprieve for democracy, justice, decency, the American people, and the world. And not a moment too soon.

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Goodbye, Donald…It Will Be Haley Vs Biden in November

Today I will make the case to Hal Ginsberg that Donald Trump is on his way out, and that Nikki Haley has a clear path to the Republican nomination for president…and other issues of the day. 11:00am Pacific, 2:00am Eastern live, and available anytime after that: Halitics on YouTube.

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Is the National Debt All That Bad? Maybe Not!

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